Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Performance

HGV Stock  USD 46.22  0.90  1.99%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Hilton Grand holds a performance score of 13. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.67, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hilton Grand will likely underperform. Please check Hilton Grand's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Hilton Grand's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hilton Grand Vacations are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Hilton Grand showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.99
Five Day Return
(2.20)
Year To Date Return
1.6
Ten Year Return
78.8
All Time Return
78.8
1
Hilton rolls out major limited-time deal for travelers
01/26/2026
2
How The Hilton Story Is Shifting With The Latest Analyst Price Target Update
01/29/2026
3
Steve Hilton roasts GOP rival Bianco for skipping debate
02/03/2026
4
Are too many Democrats running for governor in California Republicans see an opportunity
02/05/2026
5
Trump Wants Dulles and Penn Station Named After Himself, Too Will Lewis Attended NFL Event as His Paper Eliminated Its Sports Desk Marco Rubio Down to Two Jobs
02/06/2026
6
Assessing American Express Valuation After Strong Results And A 16 percent Dividend Increase
02/09/2026
7
Marriott CEO We are seeing a K-shaped economy
02/10/2026
8
Hilton Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Rise YY
02/11/2026
9
Hilton Grand Vacations to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results
02/12/2026
10
In HelloNation, Classic Car Expert Engels Gualdani of Hilton, NY, Outlines Key Safety Upgrades
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow885 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 B

Hilton Grand Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,832  in Hilton Grand Vacations on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  790.00  from holding Hilton Grand Vacations or generate 20.62% return on investment over 90 days. Hilton Grand Vacations is generating 0.3214% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9515% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Hilton, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hilton Grand is expected to generate 2.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Hilton Grand Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.22 90 days 46.22 
about 22.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilton Grand to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.51 (This Hilton Grand Vacations probability density function shows the probability of Hilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hilton Grand will likely underperform. Additionally Hilton Grand Vacations has an alpha of 0.1244, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hilton Grand Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hilton Grand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilton Grand Vacations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.9045.8547.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.6049.7151.66
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
47.3252.0057.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.650.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hilton Grand. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hilton Grand's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hilton Grand's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hilton Grand Vacations.

Hilton Grand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilton Grand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilton Grand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilton Grand Vacations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilton Grand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.67
σ
Overall volatility
2.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Hilton Grand Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilton Grand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilton Grand Vacations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from smh.com.au: Long an Aussie favourite, this African city is in for a big year

Hilton Grand Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilton Grand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Grand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments328 M

Hilton Grand Fundamentals Growth

Hilton Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hilton Grand, and Hilton Grand fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hilton Stock performance.

About Hilton Grand Performance

Evaluating Hilton Grand's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hilton Grand has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hilton Grand has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 343.50  360.68 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Hilton Grand Vacations performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilton Grand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilton Grand Vacations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from smh.com.au: Long an Aussie favourite, this African city is in for a big year
Evaluating Hilton Grand's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hilton Grand's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Hilton Grand's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hilton Grand's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hilton Grand's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hilton Grand's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hilton Grand's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hilton Grand's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hilton Grand's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hilton Grand's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hilton Grand's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis

When running Hilton Grand's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Grand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Grand is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Grand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Grand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Grand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Grand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.